73. The Wednesday Muse; Super “Two’s Day” Results and What They Mean
March 5, 2008 Hillary Clinton was the unsurprising winner of March 4th, winning Ohio, Texas’ primary, and Rhode Island. As the chips fall, these results may illustrate more. Here’s an analysis of what we know so far: Texas Primary - Clinton leads 51% to 47%, resulting in a likely net gain of 3-5 delegates. This is a rather unsurprising result, in a ...
74. The Tuesday Muse; Filibusting
March 4, 2008 You're NOT Writing About Super Tuesday Two Right Now? Let's face it, nobody cares about what goes on in congress as long as the right laws are passed and the wrong laws aren't. As a result, very little has been made of the most stubborn majority-less party in United States history since Thomas Jefferson was voted in by the ...
75. A Tuesday Muse; The Story of Each Candidate’s Life
You know, it occurred to me yesterday that, if Clinton does ultimately lose this nomination, it can be chalked up to the fact that we don't really have any kind of storyline about her in our heads. Almost all successful candidates and parties manage to craft a storyline, for instance here's an exaggerated version of John McCain and Barack Obama's ...
76. The Monday Muse; Trying Not To Be Cliched and Say “Clinton’s Last Stand”
March 3, 2008 Clinton's Last Stand Hillary Clinton now trails by 115 delegates, counting superdelegates, who are starting to abandon her and go to Obama in droves. Her "Three O'Clock" A.M. ad has helped her, but it is unclear if it will help her enough. Two weeks ago, I made a post detailing the odds of her winning, how big her margins ...
77. Newsflash; Obama reported to have won Democrats Abroad
Not really a breaking newsflash, since it was about a week ago but didn't get any media play so I didn't notice it until today, but Obama has been declared the winner of the Democrats Abroad primary 3 delegates to 1.5 delegates. He won 65.6% to 32.7% in the global primary. This means that Obama has now won 26 contests ...
78. The vs. A: Muses Discuss March 4th and Beyond
For the purposes of this transcription, everything said by "The Muse" will be in normal print while everything said by "A Muse" will be in italics. Good to see you. So, what's your prediction for March fourth? Obama probably wins the Texas caucus, loses the Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island primaries, and wins Vermont by a handful. Overall the day is relatively ...
79. A Weekend Muse; Ethics?
Note From Mac Z: "A Muse" is a new companion blog to "The Muse," focusing more on events in Washington than elections, written by a senior at Albany who wishes to remain nameless. Ethically Challenged In a rare occurrence, I actually agreed with a recent Democratic initiative. An ethics reform bill put forward would create a new bi-partisan "Office of Congressional Ethics" ...
80. Food For Thought - Current Electoral Maps With Swing States Built In
I have again put together electoral maps based on current available polls, however this time I've made any state within 5% in the polls a "purple state," as a difference under 5% in early polls is pretty meaningless. Blue is Democratic, Red is Republican. Hillary Clinton's map looks a bit less desolate with purple states built in, but it still looks ...
81. The Muse; What to Expect and What Not To Expect On “Super Tuesday Two”
February 28, 2008 What To Expect and What Not To Expect on March Fourth I've just been in a small village in Mexico for a week with the unique "privilege" of being able to only view Fox News. It wasn't just the only news channel, but it was the only channel in English. As such, I was able to see an enormous ...
82. Food For Thought - Current Electoral Maps If General Election Were Held Today
Based on polls, and assuming that the states where there haven't been polls yet would go to the Democrat if John Kerry won the state and would go to McCain if George Bush won the state, here's how Obama and Clinton would fare in a general election held today against McCain.
Obama: Wins 272-266 over McCain
Clinton: Loses 351-187
Perhaps that, ...
83. Wednesday Muse; General Election Matchup Effectively decided
February 20, 2008 It's Over? The Democratic nomination process was supposed to last all the way to the convention, with clawing and fighting until they got there. It was supposed to make one camp feel cheated. Instead, it looks like, just as in a normal process, it's effectively over a couple months before its actual end. Barack Obama has won ten contests in ...
84. Breaking Newsflash; CNN Calls Wisconsin For Obama
Obama has now apparently won Wisconsin, with exit polls indicating about a 55-45 margin with Clinton no longer having leads among white women, poor people, and those without a college education. Clinton's last remaining lead is among whites over 65 years old.Update: The Associated Press has also called it for him. Don't hold your breath for Hawaii, where polls don't ...